The midterm election map is starting to look brutal for Republicans. Virginia voters approved a map that could give Democrats four additional seats in the House of Representatives. Republicans in Florida are questioning further gerrymandering of that state’s maps, and that’s not even the worst midterm election news of the week for the Republican Party.
A new poll from the Cook Political Report shows that even House districts where Trump had a 10-point lead are at risk of swinging toward Democrats.
In an exclusive poll of districts rated by The Cook Political Report as Toss Up, Lean Republican or Lean Democrat — districts that President Donald Trump won by an average of two points in 2024 — Democrats have a six-point lead in the overall vote in Congress, 50% to 44%.
If that advantage were to hold in November, any district Trump carries by 10 points or less would be in serious danger of ending up in Democratic hands.
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Voters don’t believe Trump and many Republicans’ argument that former President Joe Biden is responsible for the weak economy. By a nine-point margin, 50% to 41%, voters in these competitive districts blame Trump and Republicans for the high cost of living. A significant majority – 57% – think Trump and Republicans have “failed to deliver the lower costs they promised,” compared to 43% who think Trump “inherited runaway inflation.”
Blaming Joe Biden isn’t working. Voters blame Trump and Republicans for the high cost of living and failure to deliver on their promise to lower costs.
One key group of voters is why Republicans find themselves in this cruel position.
