The Republicans are holding on to their majority in the House of Representatives by a thread. Marjorie Taylor Greene’s abrupt resignation means a reliable seat in the Red House will remain vacant for months.
However, it’s what happens in a special House election in Tennessee that should terrify Republicans. The Seventh US House district in Tennessee is not a race that anyone would consider ripe for flipping in a normal year.
Republicans have heavily gerrymandered the district. Trump carried it in 2024 by 22 points.
Hakeem Jeffries and House Democrats have consistently expanded their map of potential 2026 pickups. Democrats have been telling anyone who will listen for months that Republicans in districts with a lead of 20 points or more are in play for 2026.
Pundits and Republicans scoffed at it because if there were seats in play that favored Republicans by more than 20 points, it could result in a historic midterm election victory for Democrats.
What happens in the special election in Tennessee makes it look like the Democrats are right.
The special election is Tuesday, and what happens in Tennessee could be a strong indication of where the 2026 midterm elections are headed.
Keep reading below
