President Donald Trump wants a cease -the fire in Ukraine. Even if Putin agrees, America will not be safer. Because the Ukraine war has also changed the China-Russia alliance into the greatest military danger of America.
The China Russia Alliance has grown with jumps and borders since Trump met Putin for the last time in 2019 on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Osaka, Japan. China gave Russia the Greenlight to try to take over all of Ukraine in 2022. China and Russia are concerned with military exercises with high efforts and technical deals. Both sprint ahead of new nuclear weapons and rockets. Don’t forget Iran and Noord -Korea, junior partners whose drones and troops have added to the bloodshed.
So while Trump Putin looks at Joint Base Elmendorf, he will also weigh how close Putin really is for the Xi Jinping of China. It is a scenario.
From talk to tactics: Trump is running on the Russian strategy to end the war
China counts on Russia as a partner in global confrontation. “GRYNCH,” NATO’s new commander Gen. Alexus Grynkich, the Air Force of the United States, is well known for his callsign from his days as an F-16 and F-22 pilot. He recently said that he is worried that China could synchronize an invasion of Taiwan with a new Russian attack on the Baltic states or another part of Europe.
This is the great potential crisis with two fronts with Russia and China, and allies around the world who are wandering the implications.
Make no mistake. At the economic level, Russia is almost a vassal state for China. Everyone knows that China buys 47% of Russian oil. But the Russian war machine also depends on China. During the last four years of War, Putin’s Russia “reformed his military, economic and social structures to support what it describes as a long-term confrontation with the West,” noted the outgoing SACEUR-General Christopher Cavoli.
Putin cannot afford to slow down the enormous re -population that holds the Russian economy up. Russia spends 40% of its federal budget on weapons and is on schedule to replace all tanks, artillery and equipment in Ukraine. Close ties with China are essential to run the factories and maintain Putin’s grip on power. China sells DJI drones for “civil use” to Russia. Russia also gets essential rare strategic minerals Germanium and Gallium from China. Even worse, the Russian import of the Chinese nitrocellulose, an explosive front leader, rose from zero to 1300 tons in 2023.
Apart from supporting the Russians in the Ukraine war, partners of China with Russia to expand its reach and to control new tactics for global military operations. China has (fortunately) no recent combat experience, so they are doing well with an increasing pace of military exercises. Here Russia is often the teacher. China-Russia Joint military exercises rang from only two in 2012 to 14 in 2024. From 1 August. 5, the Russian navy ran submarine with China in the sea of Japan. This time last summer, two Russian TU-95 Tupolev bombers from Alaska patrol together with two Chinese H-6 nuclear capable bombers. A recent report from Defense News suggests that Russia was the Chinese bomber for supervising nuclear triade operations.
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Washington, DC has slowly accepted the full dangers caused by Putin and XI. The derivative approach to Biden from foreign policy did not help, but it all started to go wrong in the Obama government. Do you remember that Obama took the then Russian President Dmitry Medvedev in 2010 for cheese burgers in Arlington, Virginia? Yes, the same Medvedev whose recent threatening comments about nuclear “Dead-hand” strikes Trump led to relocate two nuclear submarines to “suitable positions” on August 1. The acclaimed Russia “re -established” took place instead between Moscow and Beijing.
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Coordinated American military and economic power is essential to face this couple. Take care of those secondary sanctions! Alaska is a strategic bastion filled with American F-22s and F-35 Stealth hunters, the rocket defense enforers based on the Greeley and more. That is why the top is also an opportunity for Trump to remind Putin that the American army will not be pushed around, even by the ugly duo of China and Russia.
Trump can end the murder in Ukraine. But his biggest challenge to make America safer is still ahead.
