As his poll numbers continue to fall, Donald Trump continues to look for ways to avoid what seems increasingly inevitable. Polls show that Democrats are well positioned to regain the majority in the House of Representatives, and that they are also in a better position to regain the majority in the House of Representatives. flip the Senate.
The Cook Political Report Poll Tracker reveals just how dire things have become for Trump and by extension for the Republicans running for election or re-election in November:
Trump’s overall approval rating among voters now stands at 41.0%, up from 47.3% when CPR first began publishing an aggregated polling average nearly a year ago. In March 2025, his net approval was almost as high as -1.6% (47.3% approved versus 48.9% disapproved). That net rating now stands at -15.3%, a drop of almost 14 points.
Moreover, the decline in the president’s overall approval has been especially steep among the low-frequency voter blocs that made up his 2024 coalition and will hold the key to the Republican Party’s medium-term expectations: young people (down a net 24.5% since last March), Latinos (down a net 16.0%) and independents (down a net 23.7%). In fact, less than 30% of independent voters now give the president a thumbs up for his performance.
The Cook metric uses 21 different metrics that have all been vetted for their sound methodology, and what Cook found is that Trump has been on a continuous downward spiral since March 2025.
The president has been pressing the Senate to pass a sweeping national voter suppression bill. but Majority Leader John Thune delivered bad news to Trump on Tuesday.
Read below how things fell apart for Trump.
