If you read the mainstream news today, or delved into the, shall we say, eccentric world of alt-right social media, you would think that the war in Iran has created a major rift within the MAGA movement. Both the polls and the word on the street gave the lie to this idea.
Take a headline from this week’s Washington Post that read: “Vance is in trouble and backs a war that could cost him dearly politically.” Pretty strict, except that same day a new poll from L&V showed that 83% of Republicans support the war, while only 9% are against.
President Donald Trump prepares to sign paperwork during a White House signing ceremony in the Oval Office of the White House on March 16, 2026 in Washington, D.C. (Alex Wong/Getty Images)
The same poll asked who Republican voters trust more in the Iran conflict: President Donald Trump or the podcasters Tucker Carlson and Megyn Kelly who have led the isolationist charge. This was even more decisive: 83% to 6% in favor of the president.
Another poll, from Politico, took direct aim at MAGA Republicans, those we understand are starting to revolt. The result was that 81% supported the attacks in Iran, while only 2%, probably mostly podcasters, opposed them.
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It’s easy to see why the liberals in the traditional media and the relatively few anti-war conservative podcasters are licking their chops here. It feels like Trump has broken a promise, and he can no longer claim that he has started new wars. But Iraq is not.
Let’s all take a breath here, three weeks does not mean an ‘eternal war’.
If six months from now we find ourselves in an unpopular morass in Iran, as George W. Bush found himself 20 years ago, things could change. But right now, all indications are that Republicans are behind their president.
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In part, this is because, unlike in Iraq, Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, who has personally learned the lessons of this mess, has laid out four clear goals for this operation, all of which are achievable in a relatively short time.
These are:
To deny Iran a nuclear capability
To weaken Iran’s long-range missile capabilities
To destroy the Iranian Navy
To disrupt its ability to fund proxy terror groups.
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Even though these goals have been repeated again and again by almost every official in the government, the liberal media and alt-right podcasters simply refuse to listen to them, insisting that this is a war without a clear goal.
President Donald Trump is seen in a composite image next to a satellite image of the Strait of Hormuz. (Aaron Schwartz/UPI/Bloomberg via Getty Images; Gallo Images/Orbital Horizon/Copernicus Sentinel Data 2025 via Getty Images)
More gas was poured on the false flames of widespread MAGA discontent last week with the resignation of Joe Kent as director of the National Counterterrorism Center, where he worked for the famously anti-war Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard.
It was telling that no sooner had Kent resigned than he was making the rounds on the right-wing anti-war podcasts, and perhaps even more telling that he was immediately included in the lineup for a Steve Bannon-backed anti-Israel Catholic conference in Washington, made up largely of recent converts.
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The anti-Israel, pro-isolationist wing of MAGA is not new. I saw all these people, from Kent to Bannon and the podcasters, hanging out at CPAC parties four or five years ago. The point is that, at least at this point, they have little influence among actual MAGA voters.
But how is this possible, you ask? All these podcasts have millions and millions of clicks, but no one actually knows what a click is, or whether they come by the hundreds of thousands from bot farms of foreign information operations.
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Here’s a question: If there are so many conservatives angry about the conflict with Iran, where are they in real life? Why don’t they march through the streets? Why don’t they fill the conference halls? Why don’t I meet them in dinners?
I argue, like the polls, that this is because very few of them exist.
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My conversations with voters on the ground don’t always match polls, but in this case they do. MAGA voters, even those who opposed an attack prior to Operation Epic Fury, trust not only Trump’s motives but his ability to manage and end this conflict.
As the great social commentator Chuck D of Public Enemy once put it, “Don’t believe the hype.” The MAGA movement is squarely in Trump’s corner on the Iran conflict, and Trump has ample opportunity to achieve his war goals, end the conflict, and prove his doubters wrong once again.
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