China recently rejected President Donald Trump’s offer to discuss nuclear arms. Then, shortly thereafter, Beijing revealed new weapons in his Second World War -parade, a festive affair that the Russian Vladimir Putin and Kim Jong Un of Noord -Korea also enjoyed.
The parade included a variety of advanced technologies, but the nuclear delivery systems stood out. The Chinese army showed a complete triad of improved capacities: Silo-Gelanced Intercontinental Ballistic missiles, a ballistic rocket launched by air and a submarine ballistic rocket.
Only three years ago China denied that it quickly built up its nuclear arsenal. In 2022 FU Cong, when the director-general of the arms control department of the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs (now the permanent China representative to the United Nations), repeated reporters that China only maintained a minimum deterioric that was necessary to defend itself.
The Maritime Operations Group of the Volks Freeding Army shows YJ-19 Hypersonic anti-ship missiles during a military parade on the occasion of the 80th anniversary of the end of the Second World War, in Beijing, China, 3 September 2025. (Tingshu Wang/Reuters)
Minimal deterrence is a strategy based on the assumption that a nation only needs to have sufficient nuclear weapons to survive a first strike and a retaliation attack in the spirit of his opponent sufficiently threaten to threaten the original act of aggression. Although the exact figures that would meet those criteria are difficult to distinguish, the size of the power is modest.
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China also insists on the fact that it has a policy for the first use of use. This means that it would not use a nuclear weapon against a nation, but only in response to an attack. In theory, this policy would supplement its alleged minimal deterrent strategy, but his nuclear investments both believe claims.
Four years ago Stratcom warned commander Adm. Charles Richard publicly that it is more useful to see what the Chinese are doing than what they claimed. China was in the midst of what he called a ‘strategic outbreak’. The military exercises between China and Russia also came more frequently, making what he described as “breathtaking” expansion was still alarming.
The Chinese quickly expanded the size of their nuclear force and invested in various systems, and they were on a process that suggested a challenge for the US Disragation Power, which was only designed to scare one large nuclear energy, not two at the same time.
That is why ADM concluded. Richard that, although it was impossible to know exactly how Xi Jinping could think about the purpose of the nuclear force, “which is important that they build up the ability to perform a plausible nuclear employment strategy – the last brick in the wall of a military capable to coercion.”
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Every successful act of coercion is based on the opponent of a nation who believes that it has the ability and the willingness to attack. And Beijing is working on a force to convince Washington. China not only builds a large and diverse nuclear arsenal that can reach American ships, bases and allies, it mixes its nuclear and conventional weapons on double systems. And the strategic nuclear breakout from China is prior to the time that American officials have assessed that China can try to take Taiwan by force (2027).
An annual report from the annual Ministry of Defense of 2024 at the Congress described the nuclear power of China as “Low-Yield Precision Strike rockets for ICBMs with multi-megaton yields to offer IT options with every sports of the escalation ladder.”
The same report also said: “Dod estimates that the PRC will have more than 1,000 operational nuclear heads by 2030, a large part of which will be used at higher readyness levels, and his strength will continue to grow until 2035 in accordance with its goal to guarantee to guarantee [People’s Liberation Army] Modernization is ‘in principle complete’ that year, an important milestone on the way to Xi’s goal of a ‘world class’ army by 2049. “

Russian President Vladimir Putin, Chinese President Xi Jinping, the North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif arrive on a military parade to commemorate the 80th birthday of the Japanese world war in Beijing, China, 3, 2025. (Alexander Kazakov, Sputnik, Kremlin Pool Photo via AP)
The report also noted that China will probably use its new fast breeders reactors and opposing facilities to produce plutonium for its nuclear weapons. Just like when China said it was a minimal deterrent and a no-five-use policy, it lied about this. Chinese officials claimed that these technologies are for peaceful purposes.
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After the recent Parade of China I asked retired ADM. Richard what he made of it. He told me: “I think it is important to look at it in a lot. They are rapidly advancing in all aspects needed for an army designed for aggression.” The new information, all publicly available, shows that the Admiral was right when he sounded an alarm a few years ago.
And although the nuclear expert community has found a consensus about the need to quickly modernize and adjust the American nuclear force to deter Chinese aggression, decision makers in the Pentagon do not completely struggle with this change. For example, the BIDEN administration has made insufficient changes to introduce a nuclear deterrent that could deter China and Russia at the same time.
To maintain peace, the Trump government must do the following:
One, modernizing the record program completely by replacing its nuclear delivery systems; Modernizing its nuclear heads and the American nuclear command, control and communication; And recapitalizing the nuclear enterprise infrastructure.
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The total costs of this are disputed, but the upper range of the estimates is approximately 7% of the national defense budget, the entire budget of which is less than 4% of the gross domestic product of the nation. To prevent the Nuclear War and to maintain peace, this is more than a bargain.
Two formally end the new Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (Start) with Russia, which ends in February 2026. During his invasion of Ukraine, Russia announced that it would no longer adhere to the accounting requirements of the Convention.
If the United States decide to stay within the boundaries of new start – if there is no way to determine whether Russia does the same, and if China is completely unrestrained by a treaty – then Washington would be stopped unilaterally if it desperately has to adjust its strength to scare the growing Chinese Arsenaal.
President Trump understood the foolishness to remain bound by the Treaty of the Intermediate Nuclear Forces (Inf) during his first term when Russia deprived and formally withdrew from it. The same logic applies today to a new start.
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Three, Bolster Theater Nuclear Disfrece In The Pacific by accelerating the delivery of the Cruise Raket (SLCM-N) launched by the Zee, initiated a program president Trump during his first term. The first Trump administration explained that it added this “cautious” option to “improve the flexibility and diversity of American nuclear possibilities … by signaling to potential opponents that their limited nuclear escalation does not offer an exploitable benefit.”
The Biden administration supported President Trump’s initiative until the end of his term of office and lost considerable time. Now President Trump has the opportunity to speed up efforts to deliver this critical capacity on time to deter Chinese aggression.
In addition, the next generation of bomber, the B-21, will be instrumental for scaling China and insuring allies. And while his older cousin, the B-2, showed off the illegal Iranian nuclear program in Operation Midnight Hammer, Stealth-Bomberpower pose a threat to the most deeply buried goals within enemy territory.
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The Air Force is planning to produce 100 B-21s, but adding a second production line and the double production output would be wise. This would also lower the costs per item and provide a powerful deterrent that the president can use in geographical theaters.
China claims that it has a minimum deterrent, follows a policy for using the work and uses nuclear technology for peaceful purposes. That’s nothing. Because of peace, the United States must stimulate the credibility of its nuclear deterrence accordingly – and quickly.
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